Background

The CIEPD Watch Centre Report is a monthly reporting that shares information on conflict early warning and conflict incidences in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria that has the potentials of escalation to violence. The approach of the CWC is tuned towards predicting, tracking, monitoring and reporting on situations, events and actors (individual, group and institutional) with the capacity to cause violence. It uses community/location indicators.   It is built on conflict preventive measures more than mitigating.  Sources of information are mostly from community trained trackers while a high number was gotten from media. Incidences reported are verified and analyzed before the intervention.

Conflicts Reported

The following below are conflicts and early warning reported and received by the CWC during the month of January 2018 in the following states of the Niger Delta region of Nigeria.

Figure 1

Reported early warnings and incidents in the Niger Delta States show that Delta, Ondo, and Rivers State top the highest number of reported conflict incidences.

Figure 2

Figure 3

Analysis

The report in the month of January 2018 as shown in Figures 1 and 2, a high increase of early warning and incidence reports in Rivers, Delta, and Bayelsa State, while other remaining states in the Niger Delta had a decrease in reports of high violence in the states while other drivers are on the increase. Figure 3 shows the rate of incidents of Kidnapping, cult-related violence, theft, and violence against women and girls. However, Bayelsa occupied the highest level of kidnapping incidences while Rivers state recorded a high increase in Cultism related incidences. The CWC is monitoring the situation closely and will report appropriately to the necessary stakeholders.

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